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[ivyneumann]

Nothing will be at stake in international friendlies. These games are of some importance only once they are used as warm-ups ahead of crucial competitions like the World Cup.

Most club managers find these friendlies an utter nuisance. Some of them fight tooth and nail with the country manager by refusing to release their star players. You will find numerous cases of players returning with injuries which greatly jeopardised the clubs’ chances in the league as well as other competitions. The ‘club vs country’ debate is controversial.

The conventional wisdom is in order to avoid betting these friendlies as they are looked upon as meaningless. The end result tend to be unpredictable. But a savvy punter may find value within the uncertainties.

The following factors can be considered :

Home Benefit of Intimidating Venue

Countries like Azerbaijian and Kazakhstan, etc. are not the most comfortable places to visit. How do you expect the soccer superstars to enjoy :

Long flights (some countries do not have links for direct flight).

Less than hygienic living environment and food.

Strange customs (especially if the country is of a predominantly different religion).

Climate (it cannot be easy to travel long distances from freezing winter in Europe to play in a humid stadium in Turkey on a summer night).

It is somewhat hard to expect motivation in the event the games will be considered meaningless. However, do be mindful of :

The Home team may be more motivated as they are playing for their country in front of their fans.

The game might be more very likely to be telecast live especially should the Home team is playing a highly ranked Away team like England. Thus the Home team will be super charged-up.

Because of the live telecast, this is an excellent opportunity specifically for players from an ‘obscure’ country to showcase their talent, hoping to attract the attention of sports talent scouts of big European clubs.

The game is used to restore national pride. In the event the country has been thrashed badly by their opponent in a previous game, there can be motivation to treat the game as a revenge fixture.

Do not expect key players to feature in these friendlies. Most clubs are reluctant to release their star players for fear of them returning injured or fantastic online casino football fatigued. So most players chosen tend to be the next stringers and they themselves may not go all out to be able to lessen risk of injury.

When most teams play cautiously, most of the time it shall be a dull match.

Most punters are only familiar with the same few famous national teams. Countries which they hardly heard of will automatically be considered to be ‘not good’. Alternatively, as the results of these friendlies are unpredictable, the smart punter can spot enormous value in certain underdogs, especially playing at Home.

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